MWS Control Center — Mockup v0.11

🟢 BULL · normal drawdown · ghost α +0.97pp R30 · last run 2026-05-29 16:30 ET

Δ since yesterday regime unchanged 18 sessions · scarcity cap expanded 10% → 11.6% · DBMF 7.4% → 6.8% · ghost α +0.91 → +0.97

strategic_materials cap unlocked (3/3 breadth, momentum 0.86 above 0.65 threshold) — URNM has ~$5.2K of room. energy sleeve at 7.2% vs 5% cap — compliance_trim queued for XLE. Ghost α trending positive across last 5 days (+0.42 → +0.97). No regime transitions. Cumulative YTD turnover 8.4% of 25% annual cap; $151K of buy capacity remaining.

Portfolio Value

$799,115

+10.26% YTD · total TPV

Deployable $709,213

sizing denom · bucket_a $89,902 excluded

Ghost α R30

+0.97pp

trailing 30-day signal alpha

Max Drawdown

-9.07%

soft_limit 22% · normal

Regime

🟢 BULL

VTI 6mo +14.2%

1. Insights — this run vs trailing

Infostrategic_materials cap unlocked 🔓

5-day breadth at 1.0 (3/3 positive), signal strength 0.86 ≥ threshold 0.65. Cap expanded 10% → 11.6%. URNM has $5,200 of room.

Actionenergy sleeve over its 5% cap

XLE at 7.2% of TPV after rally. compliance_trim queued — see proposed trades below.

PositiveGhost alpha trending positive

R30 alpha +0.97pp. Last 5 days: +0.42, +0.71, +0.85, +0.91, +0.97. System is gaining vs frozen-holdings benchmark.

InfoCumulative turnover: 8.4% YTD

Annual cap 25%. Remaining headroom: $151K of buy capacity. Pace is comfortably within budget.

2. Proposed trades

3 actionable · cash after: $1,557

Ticker	Action	USD	@ Price	Shares	Sleeve	Basis
URNM	BUY	$5,200	$40.15	+129	strategic_materials	momentum_buy
Why this trade strategic_materials cap unlocked. 5-day breadth at 1.0 (URNM·REMX·COPX all positive). Signal strength 0.86 ≥ threshold 0.65, so the dynamic cap expanded from 10.0% → 11.6% of deployable. URNM has a binding per-ticker floor at 40% of sleeve with current floor_active=true. Sleeve is currently 4.9% of deployable; expansion lets URNM absorb the new headroom first. Trade is a momentum_buy — fires only when both the dollar gate ($750) and signal gate (0.65) are met. Both clear comfortably. Linked news (cited by LLM overlay) Reuters · 5h ago Uranium spot up 3.4% on Cameco production cut Bloomberg · 1d ago Sprott URNM AUM inflows accelerate vs ETF average FT · 2d ago Kazatomprom guidance softens — supply discipline holds Causal weight: +0.18 on URNM signal (R30 attribution) Dollar math shares to buy+129.49 est price$40.15 gross outlay$5,199.42 cash available$7,840 cash after$2,640 Sleeve % after fill: 5.8% of deployable (was 4.9%, headroom 5.8pp remaining).
DTCR	BUY	$3,140	$28.50	+110	ai_tech	compliance_buy
SOXQ	TRIM	$8,340	$87.20	-95	ai_tech	compliance_trim

Prices are last-close from the analytics run; verify in Chase before submitting. Click ▸ to expand any row (URNM is open by default).

3. Performance & attribution

snapshot 2026-05-29 16:30 ET · ghost α R30 +0.97pp · vs SPY +5.36pp YTD

Equity curve — MWS · SPY · QQQ (cumulative %, YTD)

embedded from mws_equity_curve.png · last refreshed 2h ago

MWS +10.26% SPY +4.90% QQQ +6.81%

Cumulative α vs benchmarks +5.36pp SPY · +3.45pp QQQ

[two-line trace: MWS − SPY (green) · MWS − QQQ (gold)
cumulative outperformance over YTD]

Ghost α — MWS vs frozen-holdings counterfactual R30 +0.97 · R90 +1.42 · R252 +2.81pp

[Δ MWS-actual minus ghost (frozen holdings); sign of the area = system edge from rebalancing]

Drawdown timeline current -9.07% · max -18.3% (2024-12)

[water-line DD chart with soft_limit -22% reference line; current marker at -9.07%]

Rolling Sharpe (annualized) R30 1.42 · R90 1.18 · R252 0.96

[three-line trace: R30 / R90 / R252 Sharpe over trailing 252d; rf 4.95%]

Regime classification timeline — last 252 sessions 18 sessions in current BULL · 6 transitions YTD

BULL 110d

14d

BEAR 38d

22d

BULL 68d · current

BULL NEUTRAL BEAR ← outlined = current

vs SPY YTD

+5.36pp

SPY +4.90%

vs QQQ YTD

+3.45pp

QQQ +6.81%

Sharpe R252

0.96

annualized · rf 4.95%

Annualized vol

12.4%

trailing 252d

Max DD ever

-18.3%

2024-12-18

Days since max DD

518

portfolio recovered +27.8%

Tactical cash

$2,921

0.37% TPV · filter quiet

Recovery regime

off

shadow_mode: false

4. News context driving today's recommendations

Uranium spot price up 3.4% on Cameco production cut

Reuters · 5h ago · cited for: URNM BUY

DTCR data-center REIT rally on AI capex guidance from MSFT/META

FT · 1d ago · cited for: DTCR BUY (compliance_buy)

Iran ceasefire holds at week 8 — defense sector consolidates

Bloomberg · 2h ago · cited for: ITA HOLD, XLE HOLD

Fed Sept rate cut probability rises to 67% on cooler PCE

WSJ · 1d ago · cited for: regime BULL, drawdown normal

5. Sleeve hierarchy — current vs floor/cap

sizing_denom $709,213 · bucket_a excluded $89,902

Portfolio rolls up through L1 (compositional caps) to L2 (band-regulated sleeves) to per-ticker rails. Bars show current % of sizing_denom with floor (green tick) and cap (red tick) markers.

thematic_growth L1 cap 50%

child sum: 47.2% · 2.8pp headroom

ai_tech breadth-conditioned

42.1% · floor 25% (strong) · cap 45% Δ -2.9pp to cap

SOXQ35.1% of sleeve · max 35% CHAT28.3% · band 22-29% GRID14.2% · band 10-18% DTCR22.4% · band 10-18% · OVER CAP

biotech

2.6% · floor 2% · cap 5% Δ in band

XBI100% of sleeve

core_equity

9.7% · floor 9% · cap 10% Δ -0.3pp to cap

VTI80% of sleeve VXUS20% of sleeve

scarcity L1 cap 10%

child sum: 4.9% · 5.1pp headroom

strategic_materials 🔓 cap UNLOCKED

4.9% · floor 4% · cap 11.6% (was 10%) URNM floor bound

URNM52% of sleeve · floor 40% REMX20% · band 16-32% COPX28% · band 24-35%

geopolitical L1 cap 13%

child sum: 10.3% · 2.7pp headroom

defense

3.1% · floor 3% · cap 8% Δ in band

ITA100% of sleeve

energy

7.2% · floor 3% · cap 5% Δ +2.2pp OVER CAP

XLE100% of sleeve — sleeve OVER CAP

monetary L1 cap 10%

child sum: 9.8% · 0.2pp headroom

precious_metals

9.8% · floor 7% · cap 10% Δ -0.2pp to cap

IAUM52% of sleeve SIVR48% of sleeve

crisis_alpha overlay sleeve

band 15-18% TPV envelope

managed_futures

6.8% · band 5%-8% Δ in band

DBMF100% of sleeve

speculative_convexity L1 cap 5%

child sum: 1.9% · 3.1pp headroom

crypto

1.9% · floor 1% · cap 5% Δ in band

IBIT100% of sleeve

bucket_a SEPP liquidity · outside active sizing

$89,902 · 2-year coverage

treasury_ladder

2 rungs funded · near $44.9K · far unfunded

TREASURY_NOTE2 sh · MV $89,902

6. Chase holdings → CSV diff

current: mws_holdings.csv · last commit: 2h ago · fa1891d

Paste your Chase Private Client positions snapshot. Side-by-side diff renders before commit; the reconciliation table below derives the implied cash delta from the share changes so paste errors are caught immediately.

current mws_holdings.csv @ fa1891d

#	Ticker	Shares	Class
1	VTI	159.20183	core_equity
2	VXUS	155.56208	core_equity
3	SOXQ	1290.07689	ai_tech
4	CHAT	1044.83788	ai_tech
5	GRID	321.00000	ai_tech
6	DTCR	1078.00000	ai_tech
7	IAUM	938.33428	precious_metals
8	SIVR	439.65221	precious_metals
9	URNM	451.04349	strategic_materials
10	REMX	262.15347	strategic_materials
11	COPX	327.54934	strategic_materials
12	XBI	72.00000	biotech
13	ITA	34.00000	defense
14	XLE	118.00000	energy
15	DBMF	1420.00000	managed_futures
16	IBIT	120.00000	crypto
17	OBSOLETE	50.00000	core_equity
18	TREASURY_NOTE	2.00000	bucket_a
19	CASH	2921.64	cash

proposed parsed from Chase paste · 2026-05-30 11:42 ET

#	Ticker	Shares	Class
1	VTI	159.20183	core_equity
2	VXUS	155.56208	core_equity
3	SOXQ	1290.07689	ai_tech
4	CHAT	1044.83788	ai_tech
5	GRID	321.00000	ai_tech
6	DTCR	1078.00000	ai_tech
7	IAUM	938.33428	precious_metals
8	SIVR	439.65221	precious_metals
9	URNM	485.04349	strategic_materials
10	REMX	262.15347	strategic_materials
11	COPX	327.54934	strategic_materials
12	XBI	72.00000	biotech
13	ITA	34.00000	defense
14	XLE	118.00000	energy
15	DBMF	1420.00000	managed_futures
16	IBIT	120.00000	crypto
17	NEWTICK	200.00000	core_equity
18	TREASURY_NOTE	2.00000	bucket_a
19	CASH	1556.32	cash

2 modified 1 added 1 removed 17 unchanged

Reconciliation — implied cash delta

Ticker	Action	Δ Shares	@ Price	Expected $	Note
URNM	BUY	+34	$40.15	-$1,365
NEWTICK	NEW	+200	?	?	Chase price missing — re-check paste
OBSOLETE	CLOSE	-50	?	?	Closed position — credit pending
CASH		—	—	-$1,365	reconciles URNM buy only

Advanced — workflow dispatch · flags · run history collapsed · click to expand

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runner: Phase 2 calculate_portfolio_value...